山东工商学院学报

以发展新质生产力来赋能长江经济带商贸流通业，有利于供应链的整合，提高创新能力，形成生态循环经济，推进产业高质量发展。基于长江经济带110个市域2012—2023年的新质生产力发展指数和商贸流通业高质量发展水平，检验新质生产力驱动商贸流通业高质量发展的一般影响、空间效应与基于消费结构升级的调节效应。研究表明，新质生产力对商贸流通业高质量发展有显著正向积极影响；新质生产力在驱动商贸流通业高质量发展中产生空间溢出效应；消费结构升级将强化长江经济带新质生产力对商贸流通业高质量发展的驱动效应。基于此，提出畅通长江经济带商贸流通渠道、培养新型劳动者与促进消费升级等建议。

Empowering the commercial and trade circulation industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt with the development of new quality productive forces is conducive to supply chain integration, enhanced innovation capacity, the formation of an ecological circular economy, and the advancement of high-quality industrial development. Based on the new quality productive forces development index and the high-quality development level of the commercial and trade circulation industry in 110 prefecture-level cities within the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2012 to 2023, this study examines the general impact, spatial effects, and the moderating effect of consumption structure upgrading on the high-quality development of the commercial and trade circulation industry driven by new quality productive forces. The research findings indicate that new quality productive forces have a significant positive impact on the high-quality development of the commercial and trade circulation industry. Additionally, spatial spillover effects are observed in this driving process. Furthermore, consumption structure upgrading strengthens the driving effect of new quality productive forces on the high-quality development of the commercial and trade circulation industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Based on these findings, recommendations are proposed, including improving the commercial and trade circulation channels in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, cultivating a new quality labor force, and promoting consumption upgrading.