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基于现代化经济体系建设的三重战略目标构想,构建“7+3”现代化经济体系评价指标体系,选取全国2013—2020年省级层面数据,采取Entropy~CI综合评价法测度我国现代化经济体系建设水平,并使用泰尔指数对我国现代化经济体系建设水平空间差异和动态演进趋势进行分析。研究发现,在观察期我国现代化经济体系建设水平以2018年为时间节点总体呈现先升后降倒U型演化态势,各子系统呈现不同增长趋势。四大经济区域现代化经济体系建设水平大致呈现出“东-中-东北-西”逐渐递减的态势,总体差异主要来源于前期的区域内差异改变为后期的区域间差异;建设水平效率层面和公平层面总体差异呈现缩小趋势,而安全层面呈现波动扩大态势。国家重大战略区域现代化经济体系建设水平总体呈现以2018年为时间节点先升后降态势,总体差异以区域内差异为主;建设水平效率、公平和安全层面总体差异大体上呈现缩小趋势。省际层面,除少数省市外,大部分省市现代化经济体系建设水平均有不同程度的提升,高水平及较高水平等级的省域数量有所增加、较低水平等级的省域数量明显减少。
Abstract:Based on the triple strategic goals of modern economic system construction, this study constructs a “7+3” evaluation index system for the modern economic system. Using provincial-level data from 2013 to 2020 in China, the Entropy-Composite Index (Entropy-CI) method is employed to measure the construction level of China’s modern economic system. Additionally, the Theil Index is utilized to analyze the spatial differences and dynamic evolution trends of the construction level of the modern economic system in China. The findings indicate that during the observation period, the construction level of China’s modern economic system exhibits an inverted U-shaped trend with 2018 as the inflection point, showing an initial increase followed by a decline. The subsystems display diverse growth trajectories. The construction level of the modern economic system across the four major economic regions generally shows a gradual decline from the “east to central, to northeastern, to western” regions. The main source of overall differences shifts from regional differences within the region in the early stage to differences between regions in the later stage. In terms of efficiency, equity, and security dimensions, the overall differences in the construction level of the modern economic system tend to narrow, while the differences in the security dimension fluctuate and expand. In major national strategic regions, the construction level of the modern economic system also shows an initial increase followed by a decline with 2018 as the inflection point, with regional differences within the region playing a dominant role, and the overall differences in efficiency, equity, and security dimensions generally narrow. At the provincial level, except for a few provinces and cities, the construction level of the modern economic system in most regions has improved to varying degrees, with an increase in the number of regions at high and relatively high levels and a significant decrease in the number of regions at relatively low levels.
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基本信息:
中图分类号:F124
引用信息:
[1]现代化经济体系建设水平综合测度研究课题组.我国现代化经济体系建设水平与区域差异综合测度[J].山东工商学院学报().
基金信息:
国家社科基金项目“新发展格局下现代化经济体系建设水平综合测度和路径优化研究”(21BJY212)
2026-05-12
2026-05-12
2026-05-12